Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

Self-fulfilling prophecy, also known as the interpersonal expectancy effect, refers to the phenomenon whereby a person’s or a group’s expectation for the behavior of another person or group serves actually to bring about the prophesied or expected behavior.

self-fulfilling prophecy is the psychological phenomenon of someone “predicting” or expecting something, and this “prediction” or expectation coming true simply because the person believes or anticipates it will[1] and the person’s resulting behaviors align to fulfill the belief. This suggests that people’s beliefs influence their actions. The principle behind this phenomenon is that people create consequences regarding people or events, based on previous knowledge of the subject.

You may not believe yourself to be a fortuneteller, but you’ve likely found that you can sometimes be surprisingly accurate in your predictions.

For instance, you might predict that a project you are working on will turn out exceedingly well, and feel confident in your ability to foresee the future when your hard work pays off and your project is received positively.

Alternatively, you might expect that a speech you have to give at a work event will go terribly, and thus you feel no surprise when you stutter, mumble, and frequently forget your next point while speaking.

Although you could take these instances as evidence that you know yourself and your abilities quite well (and this can be true), you might not think about the effects your expectations have on your behavior.

When our beliefs and expectations influence our behavior at the subconscious level, we are enacting what is known as a self-fulfilling prophecy.

In this article, we’ll explore what self-fulfilling prophecies are, how they play a role in psychology and sociology, and how they can worsen mental health disorders like depression.

What is a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy?

A self-fulfilling prophecy is a belief or expectation that an individual holds about a future event that manifests because the individual holds it (Good Therapy, 2015).

For example, if you wake up and immediately think—perhaps for no particular reason at all—that today is going to be a terrible day, your attitude might make your prediction come true. You may unconsciously work to affirm your belief by ignoring the positive, amplifying the negative, and behaving in ways that are unlikely to contribute to an enjoyable day.

This concept appears regularly in culture and art, and plenty of examples of it can be found in literary works.

One of the classic examples of a self-fulfilling prophecy comes from the Greek story of Oedipus. In the story, Oedipus’s father Laius is warned that his son will eventually kill him. To avoid meeting this fate, he abandons his son and leaves him to die.

Oedipus was found and raised by foster parents, under the assumption that they were his real parents. One day, he is also confronted with a dire warning—that he will kill his father and marry his widowed mother. Of course, Oedipus has no wish to kill the man he believes is his father or marry the woman he believes is his mother, so he abandons his home and foster parents and heads off to the city.

In the city, he meets a stranger and ends up in a fight with him. Once Oedipus kills the strange man, he marries his widow. He later learns that the man he killed was his actual father and that his new bride is his mother. By trying to avoid fate, both Laius and Oedipus manifested the prophecies.

This compelling tale helped the self-fulfilling prophecy become a popular trope in literature and film, but it’s also a much-researched concept in psychology.

Types of Self-Fulfilling Prophecies

There are two types of self-fulfilling prophecies: self-imposed and other-imposed (Adler, 2012). Both lead to the same result, yet they are different approaches to getting there.

Self-Imposed Prophecies

In a self-imposed prophecy, one’s expectations are the causal factor for one’s actions. An example is illustrated through a public speaking scenario.

In this scenario, a man named John has had previous experience with failure in a public speaking setting. He is extremely nervous and believes he will fail.

Due to this, as he begins his speech, he stumbles over his words, forgets his lines, and fails to produce a coherent message. Therefore, because John believed he would fail, he did.

Other-Imposed Prophecies

An other-imposed self-fulfilling prophecy arises when others’ expectations of another individual affect the actions of that individual. A classic example is the fortune teller scenario.

Cindy, a fortune teller tells a man named Peter that he will one day become a therapist. Because Cindy imposed this expectation on Peter, he began to believe it.

Eventually, because Cindy’s expectations affected Peter’s beliefs, he did one day become a therapist. The Oedipus example above is another example of an other-imposed self-fulling prophecy.

Other-imposed self-fulfilling prophecies are at the root of racial and gender stereotyping and discrimination. If a person has certain expectations for a person of another race, they will treat them accordingly which might position this person in a place fitting the stereotype they’re believed to fit under.

For example, if it is believed that women are better in certain lesser roles than men, women are more likely to fulfill this prophecy and not live up to their full potential.

The key idea in both types of self-fulfilling prophecies is that the idea of an unbacked or false notion spurs behavior that, in turn, makes a person act “as if” the idea was a reality until, eventually, these behaviors build a reality where the prophecy comes true

Self-Fulfilling Prophecy in Psychology

Psychologists have found strong evidence for the impact of our beliefs and expectations on outcomes, particularly when we are convinced that our predictions will manifest, even when we aren’t aware that we hold the expectation.

A commonly understood example of a self-fulfilling prophecy in psychology is what is known as the placebo effect (Isaksen, 2012). The placebo effect refers to the improvements in outcomes measured in subjects of scientific studies or clinical trials, even when the participants did not receive any meaningful treatment. The participants’ beliefs affect the “treatment” that they experience.

This effect was discovered during clinical trials and can be so strong that new measures were put in place to account for its impact on an experiment’s findings. Research on the placebo effect has proven that belief can be a very powerful thing.

How Do Self-Fulfilling Prophecies Work?

Self-fulfilling prophesies follow the Pygmalion or Oedipus effects, respectively. The Pygmalion effect was named after a poem from a Greek poet with titled “Metamorphosis.” In it, a sculptor falls in love with one of his sculptures and asks the gods to provide him with a wife who looks like his sculpture. In this story, the sculptor influences his reality by how he interacts with those around him (praying to the gods). Robert Rosenthal and Jacobsen (1968) decided to experiment to test the idea of a self-fulfilling prophecy based on this effect.

Rosenthal and Jacobsen provided an IQ test to elementary children. However, when disclosing the results to their teacher, Rosenthal and Jacobsen deceived the teacher. Instead of accurately telling the teacher which students had higher IQs, they instead picked twenty percent of the children at random. They called these students “bloomers,” who would likely have the most growth in their IQ. Rosenthal and Jacobsen simultaneously classified the students with average IQs against these students. The teachers were unaware of the deception and were found to give more time and attention to those that were declared to have higher IQs. Eight months later the same group of students was tested again, and it was found that those who received more attention had higher IQs. The teacher’s expectations of those students being successful and having higher IQs shaped the way the students were treated and taught. Because those with supposed higher IQs were given more attention, they learned more and achieved higher IQs. The Pygmalion effect of a self-fulfilling prophecy is when the actions of others are manipulated and the self-fulfilling prophecy is created. The other type of self-fulfilling prophecy is the Oedipus effect, proposed by Karl Popper and based on the Greek myth of Oedipus Rex.

Karl Popper proposed that if one believes in a prophecy, even trying to avoid it will still yield a self-fulfilling prophecy. In the case of Oedipus Rex, Oedipus is discarded by his parents to die. His parents are afraid of the prophecy that Oedipus will kill his father and marry his mother. However, Oedipus does not die and is instead adopted by a different king and queen in a neighboring kingdom. Oedipus is made aware of this prophecy, so when he becomes an adult, he flees from his kingdom in an attempt to avoid his fate. In an unexpected quarrel on the road, he kills his biological father unknowingly. He then proceeds to marry his mother, the widowed queen, after unknowingly killing her husband. In the Oedipus effect example, the belief in the self-fulfilling prophecy is so strong that, even though the main character takes action to avoid it, his belief in it changes his behavior. This change in the behavior of Oedipus creates a self-fulfilling prophecy. The belief in the hypothetical situation is so strong that the behavior he believes will avoid the prophecy causes it, creating a self-fulfilling effect.

One example of a self-fulfilling prophecy is if someone with stage fright needs to make a presentation at work. This person might attempt to communicate this information with their bosses, who might be supportive and state that the person knows how to speak publically and do presentations well. The boss might even provide training on how to get the person over stage fright. However, if the person still believes that they are not good at present, they will assert this belief privately or to their superiors. When the person completes their presentation and is not successful at it, this will most likely be because they were nervous as they did not believe in themself. The self-fulfilling prophecy will have come to fruition. The embarrassment they feel and any negative feedback they receive will fulfill their belief that they do poorly in public speaking.

Another example of a self-fulfilling prophecy can be seen in children who believe that they can be professional sports players and who grow up to become professional sports players. The child wants to be recognized for how great a sports player they are, but no one has recognized them yet. Because the child loves the sport they train and practice harder than their colleagues. As they grow into adulthood, they become a better athlete in that particular sport. Because they have trained and practiced so hard, they do become one of the best players in the country or the world. The belief in themselves as a future successful athlete provides the self-fulfilling prophecy the child saw of being successful as a professional adult athlete. The child and eventually adult has communicated in their actions to others that they are the best sports player and should be recognized. It was the child’s belief, along with altering their behavior, that caused this self-fulfilling prophecy to come to fruition.

Self-Fulfilling Prophecy in Sociology: A Look at the Theory of Robert Merton

Not only is the concept of self-fulfilling prophecy an important one in psychological research, but it is also a well-known phenomenon in the field of sociology, where it was first discovered and defined by sociologist Robert Merton.

Merton was born in 1910 to poor Eastern European immigrants and was raised in Philadelphia, where he became fascinated with sociology after attending a class at Temple College.

After graduating, he moved on to Harvard University and began studying under some of the leading sociologists of the time.

By his second year at Harvard, Merton was already publishing with some of these leading sociologists, and he eventually became one of the most influential social scientists himself (Calhoun, 2003).

Perhaps it was his upbringing in one of the slums of South Philadelphia that informed his theory of the self-fulfilling prophecy; after all, his is one of the classic “American dream” trajectories that is usually accompanied by a strong conviction in one’s talents and abilities.

Merton coined the term “self-fulfilling prophecy,” defining it as:

“A false definition of the situation evoking a new behavior which makes the originally false conception come true”

(Merton, 1968, p. 477).

In other words, Merton noticed that sometimes a belief brings about consequences that cause reality to match the belief. Generally, those at the center of a self-fulfilling prophecy don’t understand that their beliefs caused the consequences they expected or feared—it’s often unintentional,  unlike self-motivation or self-confidence.

These prophecies can involve intrapersonal processes (i.e., an individual’s belief affects his or her behavior) and/or interpersonal processes (i.e., an individual’s belief affects another’s behavior).

The placebo effect is one example of an intrapersonal self-fulfilling prophecy: expectations for a spouse to cheat contribute to that spouse cheating (Biggs, 2009).

Although self-fulfilling prophecies can manifest in a variety of ways, Merton was most interested in understanding how the phenomenon plays out in racial prejudice and discrimination. He noticed that people with racial prejudices were likely to treat people of other races in a way that led to a confirmation of their prejudices.

For example, those who considered people of color to be intellectually inferior avoided talking to them, giving them no chance to prove the racist individual wrong.

Unsurprisingly, when a whole group of people is treated as if they are intellectually inferior, they are not given the same opportunities afforded to others that allow them to build their knowledge and improve their abilities.

When people know that entire groups of people view them as “other” or “lesser than,” then average performance for those groups experiencing racism is lower. It is an unfortunate cycle.

Rosenthal and the Pygmalion Effect

These studies hinted at the idea that not only do our expectations for ourselves influence outcomes, but our expectations of others also have an impact on our thoughts, feelings, and behavior toward them.

A classic experiment by Robert Rosenthal and Lenore Jacobsen in the 1960s provided evidence for this idea. Findings from this experiment (and other subsequent explorations) showed that teacher expectations of students influenced student performance more than any differences in talent or intelligence.

The researchers conducted their experiment at a public elementary school, where they chose a group of children at random and told teachers that these students had taken the Harvard Test of Inflected Acquisition and were identified as “growth-spurters.” They explained that these children had great potential and would likely experience a great deal of intellectual growth within the next year.

They gathered performance data on all of the students and compared the “ordinary” students’ gains with the gains of the “growth-spurters.” The researchers found that the students whom the teachers expected to do well (the randomly chosen “growth-spurters”) did show greater improvement than their peers.

Since the children were not told of their false Test of Inflected Acquisition results, the only explanation for these outcomes is that the teachers’ expectations influenced student performance.

This effect, known as the Pygmalion Effect, is an example of a self-fulfilling prophecy involving interpersonal processes. As Rosenthal put it:

“When we expect certain behaviors of others, we are likely to act in ways that make the expected behavior more likely to occur”

(Rosenthal & Babad, 1985).

The Cycle of Self-Fulfilling Prophecies

It’s not hard to see that self-fulfilling prophecies can lead to cycles of thought and behavior—both good and bad.

When we believe something about ourselves, we are more likely to act in ways that correspond to our beliefs, thus reinforcing our beliefs and encouraging the same behavior.

Similarly, when we believe something about others, we may act in ways that encourage them to confirm our assumptions, thus reinforcing our beliefs about them.

We don’t think much about these cycles when the outcomes are positive, but we have a common term for these cycles when the outcomes are negative: vicious cycles.

A person who is constantly doubting his ability to perform at his job may inadvertently sabotage himself. Since he is sure his work is subpar, he may avoid putting much time and effort into it or avoid doing it altogether.

This results in a lack of practice and experience, which only serves to make his work even less competent, leading to even more self-doubt and even lower self-esteem.

The image to the right provides a visual of the cycle when interpersonal self-fulfilling prophecies are in play:

  1. First, we harbor a belief or set of beliefs about ourselves;
  2. These beliefs influence our actions towards others;
  3. Our actions toward others, shaped by our beliefs about them, impact their beliefs about us;
  4. Their beliefs cause them to act in ways consistent with those beliefs towards us, which reinforces our initial beliefs about ourselves.

This cycle can apply in many scenarios and situations, but it’s particularly easy to identify each step in situations like Rosenthal’s famous studies of the Pygmalion effect (although with an alteration to the first step):

  1. Teachers may have preconceived notions about some of their students—they believe some are inherently talented and promising students, while they see others as troublemakers or intellectually inferior;
  2. A teacher may inadvertently treat the “promising” students in ways consistent with their beliefs (e.g., offering them more help, encouraging them to do well) and treat the “troublesome” students in ways similarly consistent with their beliefs (e.g., deciding not to invest much effort into teaching them, allowing them to skate by with mediocre work);
  3. The students may come to see themselves in the same way their teacher does—the promising students feel confident and motivated, while the troublesome students feel unintelligent and inferior;
  4. The students might then act in ways that match their beliefs about themselves, reinforcing the teacher’s initial assumptions about them.

The cycle of self-fulfilling prophecies can be positive for the “promising” students, but the cycle can damage those who are assumed to be incompetent or lacking by themselves and/or by others.

Self-Fulfilling Prophecy and Depression

Unsurprisingly, this cyclical nature of self-fulfilling prophecies can play a role in developing and deepening depression.

A person suffering from depression may hold some very negative thoughts about herself, thoughts like:

  • “I’m worthless”;
  • “I can’t function properly”;
  • “I’m unlovable”;
  • “No one likes me, they all think I’m a downer”;
  • “Since no one likes me, I have no friends.”

Thoughts like “I’m worthless,” and “I can’t function properly” may persuade her to give up on self-development and no longer add to her knowledge, improve her skills, or enhance her emotional resilience. “After all,” she thinks, “what does it matter? It won’t work anyway.”

If her thoughts continue this way for a prolonged period, she might find that she truly can’t function normally anymore. She may become too depressed to do even the most basic of functions, like speaking to others, making food, or showering.

Thoughts like “I’m unlovable,” “No one likes me, they all think I’m a downer,” and “Since no one likes me, I have no friends,” can easily transfer into reality. She may avoid interacting with others at all since she is sure they will not enjoy her company, leaving her with no friends.

She might interact with others but behave in a negative and unfriendly way since she is sure they will be unfriendly or unwelcoming to her, causing those she interacts with to form opinions consistent with her negative thoughts.

Depression is particularly insidious because of cycles such as these. Dr. Allan Schwartz gave this description of the vicious cycles of depression:

“All of us have to clear ourselves of this ‘poor me’ way of thinking. It is not helpful and not realistic. Negative thinking is contagious because it leads to negative talk and the self-fulfilling prophecy. If you convince yourself that your life is awful then you go about making your life awful”

(2010).

Examples of Self-Fulfilling Prophecies

In addition to the examples listed above, the phenomenon of self-fulfilling prophecies can be seen in plenty of other areas of life.

Examples in two such areas are listed below.

Examples in the Workplace

Perhaps the most salient example of self-fulfilling prophecies in the workplace can be seen in one of the first workplace interactions—the job interview. Imagine two people with the same qualifications: the same education, the same experience, the same skills. One is supremely confident in her ability to ace the interview, while the other is feeling insecure about his interview skills and predicts he will not get the job offer.

The confident individual might enter into the interview with a smile and answer every question with grace, while the more insecure individual might stumble through their answers and doubt their qualification for the job.

Who do you think is more likely to get the job? The interviewee who believes in themselves and acts on that belief is more likely to get a job offer than the interviewee who expects to fail.

This prophecy can play out even after someone gets hired. If an employee is assigned a new task that she feels is outside of her wheelhouse, she might think to herself, “There’s no way I can do this. I’m going to fail.” The employee might then unconsciously put less effort into the project, thinking it’s a lost cause. She might avoid asking others for help since she believes the project is doomed anyway.

When the project indeed fails, she might think to herself, “I was right, I just couldn’t do this task,” without realizing that her behavior all but guaranteed that the project would fail.

The workplace can also act as a host to interpersonal processes that result in self-fulfilling prophecies. Imagine that the employee in the last example has a different attitude about her ability to complete the project. She may feel nervous about taking on a new task that will require her to learn and practice new skills, but she knows she’s capable.

However, her manager is less certain. He decides not to invest too much time and effort into the project since he doesn’t think it will turn out well. He neglects to connect his employee with the people she needs to talk to and refuses to enroll her in the training that will help her develop those required skills since he feels it will be a waste of her time and company money.

Because she does not receive the resources she needs to complete the project successfully, it is indeed doomed to fail—but it is the manager who doomed it, not the employee herself.

Examples in Relationships

There are many examples of self-fulfilling prophecies within relationships.

If a woman starts dating someone under the assumption that they are not really “relationship” or “marriage material,” she will likely not take the relationship seriously and refrain from investing much time or effort into it.

This lack of investment may cause her partner to have doubts, and feel that she is distant and unavailable, thus why should they stick around and invest in hard conversations?

When her partner leaves, she might think that she was ultimately proven right—the partner wasn’t relationship material. However, her assumption likely influenced her behavior to not expect much and that initial seed caused the relationship to flounder.

On a more positive note, a self-fulfilling prophecy can also lead to good outcomes in relationships. If a man begins dating a man with whom he feels strongly connected, he may feel that this person is “the one.” Since he expects the relationship to last, he treats his partner with love and respect; then he might invest more time and energy into making it fulfilling and partners.

This love and attention ensure that his partner is satisfied with the relationship as well, and causes his partner to invest a similar level of time and energy into the relationship.

Because his prediction that the relationship will be a long and happy one leads him to behave in a way that supports that prediction, the outcome he predicted is manifested.

The limits of self-fulfilling prophecies

For several reasons, however, evidence for the power of self-fulfilling prophecies is far from conclusive. First, some of the classic studies had major methodological problems. Second, many have proven difficult to replicate. Third, the overall power of self-fulfilling prophecies, especially as obtained in naturalistic studies that do not involve experimenters intentionally creating false expectations in participants, is not large at all. Fourth, there currently is about as much evidence that positive self-fulfilling prophecies improve the performance of low-achieving students as there are that negative self-fulfilling prophecies harm their performance. Fifth, considerable evidence indicates that people are not rudderless ships, relentlessly tossed around on the seas of other people’s expectations. Instead, people have their motivations and goals that enable them to successfully combat others’ false expectations.

Overall, therefore, the evidence does not justify a simple picture of self-fulfilling prophecies as powerful and pervasive sources of social problems. But the picture gets even fuzzier when other research is added to the mix. Although not all stereotypes are 100 percent accurate, it can be argued that most of the empirical studies that have assessed people’s beliefs about groups and then compared those beliefs with criteria regarding what those groups are actually like (census reports, results from hundreds of empirical studies, self-reports) find that people’s beliefs correspond to groups’ characteristics quite well. Indeed, the accuracy of many of the people’s stereotypes (the extent to which people’s beliefs about groups correspond to what those groups are actually like) is one of the largest relationships in all of social psychology.

In addition, the shared component of stereotypes is typically even more accurate than the individual or idiosyncratic component. Arguably, people do not rigidly and powerfully apply their stereotypes when judging individuals. They often readily jettison their stereotypes when clear and relevant personal information is available about the person being judged, and overall the effect of stereotypes on judging individuals is generally quite small. Thus, some of the key assumptions underlying the “self-fulfilling stereotypes are a powerful and pervasive source of social problems” story, that stereotypes are widely shared and inaccurate and that they powerfully distort expectations for individuals, seem to be largely invalid.

A second important assumption underlying the argument for the power of self-fulfilling prophecies is that even if these prophecies are small in any given study, those small effects because they likely accumulate over time, can become quite large and hence at least partially account for major social inequalities. For example, if teachers’ expectations increased the IQ of high-expectancy students by only 3 points per year and decreased the IQ of low-expectancy students by only 3 points per year and if these effects accumulated, then at the end of six years there would be a 36-IQ-point difference between two students who started with identical IQ test scores but different expectancies.

However, empirical research on self-fulfilling prophecies in education has not provided any evidence of accumulation. Rather than accumulating to become larger and larger over time, the effects of self-fulfilling prophecies in the classroom dissipate over time, as they become smaller and smaller. Given the evidence for generally high accuracy in teachers’ expectations, strongly erroneous teachers’ expectations may be the exception rather than the rule. Thus, students may be highly unlikely to be the target of the same type of erroneous expectation year after year, thereby limiting the likelihood that they will be subjected to the same erroneous expectation (and its self-fulfilling effects) year after year.

Nonetheless, the story about the role of self-fulfilling prophecies in social problems should not be completely discarded. Self-fulfilling prophecies probably do play a real yet relatively modest role in creating or maintaining social inequalities based on characteristics such as race, ethnicity, social class, gender, and attractiveness. Moreover, in some contexts, this role can be quite large. Some of the largest self-fulfilling prophecy effects ever obtained were found among students from stigmatized social and demographic groups (African American students, lower social class students, and students with histories of low achievement). Additionally, even though educational self-fulfilling prophecies do not accumulate, they can be very long-lasting. Finally, the types of diagnostic labels often used in educational contexts—learning disabled, emotionally disturbed, neurologically impaired—are inaccurately applied sufficiently often that they may frequently create inaccurately low expectations that are indeed self-fulfilling.

How Does It Shape Communication?

The examples above show that self-fulfilling prophecies can have profound effects on relationships, and these effects are brought about or enhanced by the ways we communicate with one another.

When we hold internal beliefs or expectations or make predictions about someone, we often behave toward them in a manner consistent with those beliefs and expectations.

For example, if we are told that someone we are about to meet is a wonderful and interesting person with a sparkling personality, we will likely make sure we talk with them, be friendlier than usual, and ask lots of questions. When they sense our interest in them, they will likely return that interest and give full, engaging answers to our questions. Thus, their behavior follows our actions.

Whether we are consciously aware of it, our beliefs and expectations of someone will seep into our communications with them.

This phenomenon can be seen in how stereotypes are formed and reinforced. An individual may be told about how people of a certain race behave and then form a global assumption about all people of that race.

The next time they see someone of the same race, they will likely treat them as a person who behaves according to their assumption. It can be dangerous, in this way, as a social issue in need of mitigation.

From research on the Pygmalion effect, we know that when individuals are treated as if they are hardworking and capable people, they are more inclined to work hard and believe in their capability.

Conversely, when people are treated as unfriendly or intellectually inferior, they are more likely to act in an unfriendly manner or to doubt their intelligence and keep their deeper thoughts to themselves (Aaronson, 2005).

Benefits of Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

Using a self-fulfilling prophecy can be beneficial when applied appropriately, especially in the world of business. If an individual, for example, an entrepreneur, is taking a meeting with potential investors for a startup he’s working on, then winning the investors over is the goal. If the entrepreneur believes that the investors will love his ideas and want to invest in his startup, it will likely lead him to have more confidence in himself and his presentation.

Walking into the meeting with confidence helps the entrepreneur stay grounded, give a great presentation, and be less awkward when talking to the investors one-on-one. In the end, this confidence affects how the entrepreneur carries himself and how the investors see him. In many cases, this can lead the investors to provide the entrepreneur with financing for his startup.

A self-fulfilling prophecy is any held belief or expectation that leads to behaviors that ultimately prove the belief or expectation true. When used positively, this phenomenon can be a great tool in the business world.

Negative Effects in Investing

The self-fulfilling prophecy phenomenon is often mentioned in the arena of investing, and usually in a negative way. Traders speak of bad – that is, erroneous – attitudes about the market that often become self-fulfilling prophecies. For example, if a trader believes that the market is “out to get him” – that is, actively working to make his trades unprofitable – then they will often make trading decisions based on the false scenario. Since the trader’s decisions are based on a false premise, they quite naturally are likely to lead to trading losses.

When trading losses occur, it further reinforces the truth of the trader’s false assumption in their mind. But the fact is that it is the trader’s behavior, not any underhanded machinations on the part of the market, that leads to the trading losses. Without recognizing the self-fulfilling prophecy nature of their actions, traders continue to believe their false assumptions about the market and, therefore, continue to have bad experiences because of their actions that lead to self-fulfilling prophecies.

How to Avoid Being Negatively Influenced by a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy

Some tips to remain in and react from a conscious state include:

  1. Become aware of how you identify and the beliefs you carry about yourself. For example, I’m lazy: “I accept mediocrity and don’t put much effort into most things.”
  2. Gain insight into the beliefs you carry about others. For example, people are not trustworthy and tend to be self-serving.
  3. Identify patterns of behavior. For example, you tend to avoid situations where you’ll experience “failure.”
  4. Acknowledge and lean into your emotions. For example, instead of shying away from your worry, notice it, label it as “worry,” and become curious as to your thoughts, feelings, and potential reactions to it.
  5. Surrender your need to be in control and enhance your curiosity and flexibility. If you allow yourself to be open and to see and experience things more expansively, you’re more likely to function on a conscious level and less likely to be driven by habits, impulses, and repeated patterns of behavior. You provide yourself the opportunity to expand your thinking and inevitably your behavior.
  6. Reframe your language. Try to avoid using absolute or disempowering terms such as neveralways, and I can`t. Instead, replace them with neutral or positive words and phrases, such as I willI can, and I`ll give it my best.
  7. Role-play situations in your mind or with others. You could practice being with the part that wants to repeat or play out patterns of behavior and the part that doesn’t. It helps with processing thoughts and feelings and problem-solving how you want to act based on the insight.
  8. Work toward a growth mindset. If you shift your mindset, you can be more present and conscious, and make choices with more intentionality. For ways to facilitate a growth mindset, see my prior Psychology Today post, “25 Ways Toward A Growth Mindset: Enhance Your Relationships and Personal Growth.”

Be mindful of your beliefs and assumptions which can impact your behavior and those around you. A self-fulfilling prophecy can also be positive and work to benefit you. Work on fortifying attitudes and perceptions that lead to positive and fulfilling outcomes and relationships. From here on in, try to intentionally enter your days with confidence and expect greatness and success. Let’s see what happens!

6 Quotes About Self-Fulfilling Prophecies

Sometimes all we need to remind ourselves of a simple but elusive truth, often summarized by a good quote. Read the quotes below to help you remember the importance of your own beliefs and expectations about your abilities.

“It is our attitude at the beginning of a difficult task which more than anything will affect a successful outcome.”

William James

“Whatever we expect with confidence becomes our own self-fulfilling prophecy.”

Brian Tracy

“If you expect the battle to be insurmountable, you’ve met the enemy. It’s you.”

Khang Kijarro Nguyen

“Whether you think you can or you think you can’t, you’re right.”

Henry Ford

“If men define situations as real, they are real in their consequences.”

W.I. Thomas

“The self-fulfilling prophecy is, in the beginning, a false definition of the situation, evoking a new behavior which makes the originally false conception come true. The specious validity of the self-fulfilling prophecy perpetuates a reign of error.”

Robert K. Merton

Book Recommendations + PDFs

If this piece sparked your interest in learning more about self-fulfilling prophecies and the Pygmalion Effect, give these books a try:

  • Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: A Practical Guide to Its Use in Education by Robert T. Tauber (Amazon);
Amazon Best Seller
Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: A Practical Guide to Its Use in Education (School Librarianship)
  • Tauber, Robert T. (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 200 Pages - 02/25/1997 (Publication Date) - Praeger (Publisher)
  • Self-Fulfilling Prophecies: Social, Psychological, and Physiological Effects of Expectancies by Russell A. Jones (Amazon);
Self-fulfilling prophecies: Social, psychological, and physiological effects of expectancies
  • Used Book in Good Condition
  • Jones, Russell A (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 275 Pages - 10/05/1977 (Publication Date) - distributed by Halsted Press (Publisher)
  • Your Life is a Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: Timeless Wisdom for Modern Teens by M. E. Forbes (Amazon);
Your Life is a Self-fulfilling Prophecy: Timeless Wisdom for Modern Teens
  • Forbes, M. E. (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 110 Pages - 11/23/2017 (Publication Date) - Independently published (Publisher)
  • Social Perception and Social Reality: Why Accuracy Dominates Bias and Self-Fulfilling Prophecy by Lee Jussim (Amazon);
Social Perception and Social Reality: Why Accuracy Dominates Bias and Self-Fulfilling Prophecy
  • Hardcover Book
  • Jussim, Lee (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 486 Pages - 04/06/2012 (Publication Date) - Oxford University Press (Publisher)
  • How the Economy Works: Confidence, Crashes, and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies by Roger E. A. Farmer (Amazon);
Amazon Best Seller
How the Economy Works: Confidence, Crashes and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
49 Reviews
How the Economy Works: Confidence, Crashes and Self-Fulfilling Prophecies
  • Farmer, Roger E. A. (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 216 Pages - 04/01/2014 (Publication Date) - Oxford University Press (Publisher)
  • Pygmalion in the Classroom: Teacher Expectation and Pupils’ Intellectual Development by Robert Rosenthal and Lenore Jacobson (Amazon).
Amazon Best Seller
Pygmalion in the Classroom: Teacher Expectation and Pupils' Intellectual Development
  • Used Book in Good Condition
  • Robert Rosenthal (Author)
  • English (Publication Language)
  • 266 Pages - 05/04/2003 (Publication Date) - Crown House Publishing (Publisher)

For a quicker overview of this phenomenon than can be found in a book, check out these journal articles on self-fulfilling prophecies:

  • “The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy” by Robert Merton (article);
  • “The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy in Close Relationships” by Geraldine Downey, Antonio L. Freitas, Benjamin Michaelis, and Hala Khouri (article);
  • “Social Perception and Social Reality: Why accuracy dominates bias and self-fulfilling prophecy by Lee Jussim (article);
  • “Self-Fulfilling Prophecy: A Literature Review” by Nidhi Sharma and Keshav Sharma (article)

Conclusion

The self-fulfilling prophecy is certainly one of those concepts that are meaningful in an academic context and a personal context.

Now that you know about how our beliefs and assumptions can impact our behavior and the behavior of those around us, be sure to keep this phenomenon in mind—especially in your communication with others and in your self-talk.

Negative thoughts can become reality, but the good news of the self-fulfilling prophecy is that positive thoughts can become reality as well.

REFERENCES

  • Aaronson, L. (2005). Self-fulfilling prophecies: Expectations of stereotypes will come to pass if people believe in them. Psychology Today. Retrieved from https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/articles/200503/self-fulfilling-prophecies
  • https://www.britannica.com/topic/self-fulfilling-prophecy
  • https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Self-fulfilling_prophecy
  • https://corporatefinanceinstitute.com/resources/knowledge/other/self-fulfilling-prophecy-examples/
  • https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/being-your-best-self/202110/beware-your-self-fulfilling-prophecy
  • https://study.com/academy/lesson/self-fulfilling-prophecies-in-psychology-definition-examples.html
  • https://www.sciencedirect.com/topics/psychology/self-fulfilling-prophecy
  • Biggs, M. (2009). Self-fulfilling prophecies. In P. Bearman & P. Hedstrӧm (Eds.) The Oxford handbook of analytical sociology (pp. 294-314). Oxford, UK: Oxford University Press.
  • Calhoun, C. (2003). Robert K. Merton remembered. American Sociological Association. Retrieved from http://www.asanet.org/sites/default/files/savvy/footnotes/mar03/indextwo.html
  • Good Therapy. (2015). Self-fulfilling prophecy. Good Therapy PsychPedia. Retrieved from https://www.goodtherapy.org/blog/psychpedia/self-fulfilling-prophecy
  • Isaksen. J. V. (2012). The self-fulfilling prophecy. Popular Social Science. Retrieved from http://www.popularsocialscience.com/2012/12/27/the-self-fulfilling-prophecy/
  • Merton, R. K. (1948). The self-fulfilling prophecy. The Antioch Review, 8, 504-521.
  • Rosenthal, R., & Jacobson, L. (1968). Pygmalion in the classroom. The Urban Review, 3, 16-20.
  • Rosenthal, R., and E. Y. Babad. (1985). Pygmalion in the gymnasium. Educational Leadership, 43, 36–39.
  • Schwartz, A. (2010). Woe is me, the self-fulfilling prophecy. MentalHelp.net – Disorders & Issues. Retrieved from https://www.mentalhelp.net/articles/woe-is-me-the-self-fulfilling-prophecy/
  • Tartakovsky, M. (2015). How to step pessimistic self-fulfilling prophecies from shaping your life. Psych Central. Retrieved from https://psychcentral.com/blog/how-to-stop-pessimistic-self-fulfilling-prophecies-from-shaping-your-life/

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